Monday, April 24, 2017

4/24/17: Laffer Cruve/Supply Side Economics/Reaganomics



  • Supply Side Economics or Reaganomics-
    • Manipulating aggregate supply by enacting policies to stimulate incentives to work, save & invest.
    • May include tax cuts, which would increase disposable income.
  • Laffer Curve-
    • Displays the theoretical relationship between tax rates & government revenue.
  • 3 Criticisms of the Laffer Curve-
    1.  Imperial evidence suggests that the impact of tax rates on incentives to work, save & invest are small.
    2. Tax cuts also increase demand, which can fuel inflation.
    3. Where the economy is actually located on the curve, is difficult to determine.

Thursday, April 20, 2017

4/20/17: Types of Inflation


  • Inflation-
    • Increase in level of prices
    • Ideal inflation rate is 2-3%
  • Deflation-
    • Decrease in level of prices
  • Disinflation-
    • Rate of inflation decreases
  • Hyperinflation-
    • Rate of inflation increases

                                          

Tuesday, April 18, 2017

4/18/17: Phillips Curve


  • Short Run Phillips Curve-
    • In the short-run, the Phillips curve represents a trade off between inflation & unemployment.
      • Inverse relationship (as inflation increases, unemployment decreases)
    • Each point on the Phillips curve corresponds to a  different level of output.
  • Long-Run Phillips Curve- 
    • Occurs at natural rate of unemployment
    • Represented by a vertical line
    • There is no trade-off between inflation & unemployment in the long-run.
    • In the long-run, the economy produces at the full employment output level.
    • the LRPC (long-run phillips curve) will only shift if the LRAS curve shifts. 
      • Increase in unemployment (Un) will shift LRPC right.
      • Decrease in unemployment will shift LRPC left.
  • Short-run-
    • If inflation persists & the expected rate of inflation rises, then the entire SRPC moves upwards.
      • Brings about stagflation
  • Stagflation-
    • Simultaneous rise in inflation & unemployment.
  • Supply Shocks-
    • Rapid & significant increase in resource cost, which causes SRAS curve to shift.
      • Ex) Depreciation of dollar, gas price increase
  • If inflation expectations drop due to new technology, then the SRPC will move downward.
  • Natural Rate of Unemployment related to...
    • Frictional 
    • Seasonal
    • Structural 
  • Misery Index-
    • Combination of inflation & unemployment in any given year.
      • Single digit misery is good

Monday, April 3, 2017

4/3/17: Loanable Funds Market


  • Loanable Funds Market
    • The loanable funds market is the private sector supply & demand of loans.
      • This market brings together those who want to lend money (savers) & those who want to borrow (firms w/ investment spending projects)
      • This market shows the effect on real interest rate
      • Demand: Inverse relationship between real interest rate & quantity loans demanded.
      • Supply: Direct relationship between real interest rate & quantity loans supplied.
      • This is NOT the same as the money market (supply is not vertical).
  • Prime Rate
    • Interest rate that banks charge their most credit worthy customers.

      • Better credit, better rate

Friday, March 31, 2017

3/31/17: Tools of Monetary Policy

  • Tools of Monetary Policy
    1. Open market operation
    2. Reserve requirement 
  • The Reserve Requirement
    • The FED sets the amount that banks must hold
    • Reserve ratio is the percent of deposit that banks must hold in reserve (% they can NOT loan out)
  • Money Multiplier
    • If triple R is .2, MM= 5
    • Used to find change in money supply, change in DD.
  • Using Reserve Requirement
    • For Recessions
      • Decrease the reserve ratio
      1. Banks hold less money & have more excess reserves.
      2. Banks create more money by loaning out excess.
      3. Money supply increases, interest rates fall, AD goes up.
        • RR down, MS up, I up, i down, AD up
    • For Inflation
      • Increase the reserve ratio
      1. Banks hold more money & have less excess reserves.
      2. Banks create less money.
      3. Money supply decreases, interest rates up, AD down.
        1. RR up, MS down, I down, i up, AD down
  • Open Market Operations (OMO)
    • FED buys or sells government bonds (securities)
      • This is the most important & widely used monetary policy.
    • If the  FED buys bonds: it takes bonds out of the economy & replaces them with money.
      • MS up
    • If the FED sells bonds: it takes money & gives the security to the investor.
      • MS down
  • The Discount Rate
    • The discount rate is the interest rate that the FED charges commercial banks for short term loans.
  • Federal Funds Rate
    • The federal funds rate is the interest rate that banks charge one another for overnight loans.

Friday, March 24, 2017

3/24/17: Money Creation Formula


  • A single bank can create $ by the amount of its excess reserves.
  • The banking system as a whole can create $ by a multiple of the excess reserves.
    • MM x ER = Expansion of Money
    • Money Multiplier = 1 / RR (required reserves)
  • New vs. Existing $
    • New Money
      • If the initial deposit in a bank comes from the FED or bank purchase of a bond or other money out of circulation (buried treasure), the deposit immediately increases the money supply.
      • The deposit then leads to further expansion of the money supply through the money creation process.
        • Total change in MS = Initial deposit is new $ = Deposit + $ Created by banking system
    • Existing Money
      • If a deposit in a bank is existing $ (already counted in MI. Ex: currency or checks) depositing the amount does NOT change the MS immediately because it is already counted.
      • Existing currency deposited into a checking account changes only the composition of they money supply from coins/paper money to checking account deposits. 


        • Total change in MS if deposit is existing money = Banking system created money only.

5/10/17: Comparative & Absolute Advantage

Specialization Individuals & countries can be made better off if they will produce in what they have comparative advantage & the...