Tuesday, April 18, 2017

4/18/17: Phillips Curve


  • Short Run Phillips Curve-
    • In the short-run, the Phillips curve represents a trade off between inflation & unemployment.
      • Inverse relationship (as inflation increases, unemployment decreases)
    • Each point on the Phillips curve corresponds to a  different level of output.
  • Long-Run Phillips Curve- 
    • Occurs at natural rate of unemployment
    • Represented by a vertical line
    • There is no trade-off between inflation & unemployment in the long-run.
    • In the long-run, the economy produces at the full employment output level.
    • the LRPC (long-run phillips curve) will only shift if the LRAS curve shifts. 
      • Increase in unemployment (Un) will shift LRPC right.
      • Decrease in unemployment will shift LRPC left.
  • Short-run-
    • If inflation persists & the expected rate of inflation rises, then the entire SRPC moves upwards.
      • Brings about stagflation
  • Stagflation-
    • Simultaneous rise in inflation & unemployment.
  • Supply Shocks-
    • Rapid & significant increase in resource cost, which causes SRAS curve to shift.
      • Ex) Depreciation of dollar, gas price increase
  • If inflation expectations drop due to new technology, then the SRPC will move downward.
  • Natural Rate of Unemployment related to...
    • Frictional 
    • Seasonal
    • Structural 
  • Misery Index-
    • Combination of inflation & unemployment in any given year.
      • Single digit misery is good

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