Wednesday, February 15, 2017

2/15/17: Aggregate Demand

  • Aggregate Demand Curve
    • AD is the demand by consumers, businesses, government, and foreign countries.
    • Changes in price level cause a move along the curve, not a shift of the curve. 
  • Aggregate Demand (AD)
    • Shows the amount of real GDP that the private, public & foreign sector collectively desire to purchase at each possible price level.
    • The relationship between the price level & the level of real GDP is inverse (one decreases, other increases.)
  1. 3 Reasons why AD is downward sloping
    1. Wealth Effect
      • Higher prices reduce purchasing power of $
      • This decreases the quantity of expenditures
      • Lower price levels increase purchasing power & increase expenditures
      • Price level goes up, GDP demand goes down
        • Ex) If balance in your bank is $50,000, but inflation erodes your purchasing power you will likely reduce your spending 
               2. Interest Rate Effect
      • As price level increases, lenders need to charge higher interest rates to get a REAL return on their loans.
      • Higher interest rates discourage consumer spending & business investment.
      • Price level goes up, GDP down (& vice versa)
        • Ex) Increase in price leads to an increase in the interest rate from 5% to 25%. You are less likely to take out loans to improve your business. 
               3. Foreign Trade Effect
      • When U.S price level rises, foreign buyers purchase fewer U.S goods & Americans buy more foreign goods.
      • Exports fall & imports rise, causing real GDP demanded to fall (Xn decreases)
        • Ex) If prices triple in the U.S, Canada will no longer buy U.S goods, causing quantity demanded of U.S products to fall.
  • Shifts in Aggregate Demand 
    • There are two parts to a shift in AD
      • A chance in C, Ig, G, and Xn
      • A multiplier effect that produces a greater change than the original change in the 4 components.
    • Increases in AD = AD shift to the right
    • Decreases in AD = AD shift to the left
  • Determinants of AD
    • Consumption (C)
    • Gross private domestic income (Ig)
    • Government purchases (G)
    • Net exports (Xn)
  1. Change in Consumer Spending
    • Consumer wealth (boom in the stock market)
    • Consumer expectations (people fear a recession)
    • Household indebtedness (more consumer debt)
    • Taxes (decrease in income taxes)
  2. Change in Investment Spending
    • Real interest rates (price of borrowing $)
      • If interest rates increase..
      • If interests rates decrease..
    • Future business expectations (high expectations..)
    • Productivity & technology (new robots)
    • Business taxes
  3. Change in Government Spending
    • War
    • Nationalized health care
    • Decrease in defense spending
  4. Change in Net Exports
    • Exchange rates (if the U.S dollar depreciates relative to the euro)
    • National income compare to abroad
      • If a major importer has a recession
      • If the U.S has a recession
      • "If the U.S gets a cold, Canada gets pneumonia" 
  • AD = GDP = C + Ig + G + Xn
  • Government Spending
    • More government spending = AD shift to right
    • Less government spending = AD shift to right

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